Friday, September 26, 2008

"Commandments Before The Strike": October 7, 2008

Directives for Islamic terrorist attack in U.S. appear on the Internet

A note from Radarsite: Once again we have received information of a possible imminent major al Qaeda attack on American soil. And once again we are challenged to make a decision based on the credibility of the sources involved as to whether or not to post this information. We have chosen to err on the side of caution and post any information which seems at all credible. We are certainly very aware of all of the projected dates for major attacks on the US which have - thankfully - come and gone uneventfully. However, each case must be judged on its own merit. And this particular information does, unfortunately, comes to us with some undeniable credentials.
This time the fateful date is to be October 7, 2008, just a couple of weeks from now.
Read it yourself and make your own judgement. I made mine when I decided to post it. - rg
Hat tip to Ben at Crusaders Armory
Cross posted from Homeland Security
SPECIAL REPORT: "Commandments Before The Strike"
ALERT: Instructions for actions Muslims are to take before, during & after an attack in the U.S. posted;
Message suggests activation of worldwide jihad following U.S. attack;
Message indicates large-scale attack within the U.S., perhaps early October;
Text, posting under analysis by U.S. Intelligence officials
Analysis by Douglas J. Hagmann, Director & By Randy Taylor, Independent Analyst
Intelligence provided by "Archangel"

24 September 2008: A posting uncovered in an Arabic language Internet forum is currently raising a few eyebrows in the intelligence community. The single posting, which is presently being scrutinized by intelligence officials, appears to provide detailed instructions for Muslims living within the United States, giving them specific actions to take before, during and after an upcoming attack in the U.S. The communication was discovered by "Archangel," a well-known independent intelligence analyst active within the intelligence community.

The post was initially published on August 2, 2008 under the title “Commandments [Directives] Before the Strike,” and appears to be a sort of a conflict management guide, or instructions on what Muslims should do prior to the attack, actions that should be undertaken concurrent with the attack, and well as additional instructions following the attack.

The text addressing the nature, location and timing of the planned attack, although specific to the U.S., appears otherwise ambiguous. For instance, the timing appears to focus on the Tuesday following the end of Ramadan, which would be October 7, 2008. The nature of the attack is less clear. Although the author appears to talk about a strike greater in magnitude than the 9/11 attacks and makes reference to the possibility of it being nuclear in nature, the text references to the nuclear aspect of the attack appear somewhat muddled.

In terms of the location of the attack, it is clear that the author identifies both New York, as the financial capital of the U.S., and Washington, DC, as the nation’s capital, as being both desirable and affected. It is interesting that under analysis, the details of “the attack” referenced by the author are nestled within the text of instructions, rather than being prominently placed to serve as an overt warning as seen in the past. The relative subtlety in which the targets and type of attack was referenced is most interesting from a historical and analytical perspective.

The author who wrote the posting appears to be well established and respected by the community of terrorists and their supporters who frequent such forums. Research of the various membership profiles within that community indicates the author could be a sheik or other Muslim with leadership status. To be clear, research indicates the author has a level of credibility within the forum community. Accordingly, it would be completely consistent for the author to be able to issue a set of instructions that could be expected to be followed by the readers of the forum.

An investigation of the post, in terms of placement, links and replies, also provides significant insight with regard to its weight and credibility. Looking at a specific patterns of posting on Arabic language forums over the last seven years, investigation and research takes into account the number, type and authorship of follow-up postings or replies, for example to the original communication.
What makes this post particularly interesting is the limited number of replies to date – a total of three- despite the length of time it has been posted. Further, the replies in this case are general blessings, such as “May Allah Bless You” and general wishes of support for the operation. Based on extensive research of historical posting patterns over the last seven years suggest that this posting could be classified, recognized and acted upon as an order, as opposed to being a point for further discussion.

The commandments or directives are written as a set of instructions to an audience the author has divided into six groups as follows, most if not all having some presence in the United States:
1. Muslim scholars, students, followers of Islam;
2. Various Islamic movements.
3. Islamic peoples not belonging to any specific movement.
4. “Dubai Islamic Emirate of the Caucasus” the Islamic State of Iraq and other jihadist movements;
5. Sleeper cells and potential recruits;
6. The general command of al Qaeda.

Various directives are issued to each of the groups referenced above, providing direction to each group on activities that need to be conducted before and after “the” attack. For example, members of “sleeper cells” should immediately seek out those who are already activated – known by some Islamic scholars and religious leaders – for further tactical advancement.

Specific instructions were also given to the Muslim people to move Muslim children to the safety of training camps at a time that would correspond to the Tuesday after Ramadan – a date that was established as the potential attack date within this posting.

In addition to the varied instructions within this post, there is an additional directive that appears to serve as a worldwide activation order for Islamic terrorists to carryout maritime missions subsequent to the attack, with the obvious intent on disrupting all major maritime supply routes.

Instructions were given to jihadists in the following areas for such operations:
"[T]he Philippines - Indonesia - Maldives - the coast of Yemen - the coast of Somalia - the coast of Chinguetti - and perhaps the coast of Algeria;"
"The skyline of the Islamic many important straits and sea lanes that have articulated by the march of trade and military forces of infidelity:"
"The Strait of Malacca between Malaysia and Sumatra, one of the most important corridors of the world trade."

"[The] Torres Strait, which lies between New Guinea and northern Australia..."
Perhaps the most disconcerting aspect of this posting might not be the message itself, but the message when viewed through the prism of historical patterns exhibited subsequent to the 2001 terrorist attacks. While the contents of the message are revealing, they become even more relevant when analyzed in tandem with the threat of worldwide jihad in advance of the bombings in Yemen and Pakistan.
We are seeing a resurgence of Islamic jihad previously before unseen, with few notable exceptions. Those exceptions, however, are indeed notable: the time periods before the London & Madrid bombings, both described as each country's own 9/11.


  1. I have heard of "Archangel" by reputation. And this report has been worrying me.

    But it also conflicts with reports coming in that the Jihadists would not do anything to jeopardize the Obama campaign. A terror attack would do just that. It would give John McCain the boost he needs to show Obama weak on terror.

    Oct 7 is the first Tuesday after Ramadan, but that is no special day in Islam. And al Qada has been screaming about an attack on London. Could this be the date for that? And a dirty bomb would be devastating to any city.

    Then again this could all be some hot air being put out on the internet to disturb us out of sleep. But given the reputation of Archangel, I feel we might be in for a bumpy week.

  2. Thank you Katie for that good analysis. I did give it a lot of thought before I posted that article, but I'm glad to see that you take it seriously too. Not that either you nor I think that this is the final word on the subject, but that it's credible enough to consider.
    Also, I think you'll agree, we are not dealing with a politically responsible entity here. Sometimes their timetables and motivations are just inscrutable. It wouldn't be the first time they've done something that a purely political entity would never consider doing.
    Hopefully, this report is as erroneous as some of those others -- or perhaps the reports might have been true, but the threat was neutralized without fanfare.

  3. Hello, I've just found your site, I like it. As far as the jihadis doing anything reasonable, isn't that an oxymoron? I found two sort of important conferences schedualed for the 7th. In NYC, Homeland security will be holding a conference and in Washington, the Govenor's yearly conference is going on. I don't claim that these are targets but it would seem reasonable to a jihahi to disrupt or interfer with either of these.

  4. Fear, uncertainty, stress: all part of their tactic of social disruption.

    There are Muslims driving school buses, ambulances, fire trucks and cabs. How far can they be trusted?

    When the first school bus is diverted to a deserted warehouse and the passengers held for ransom, what can we do about it?

    This internal security problem has only one solution. Remove the fifth column and its support base from our shores.

  5. Politicians come and go, we live our lives not knowing what's around the corner, we can put our heads in the sand, we can deny reality, choose to believe that it's all ok, but one thing we can be sure of, like death and taxes, there are many out there plotting to knock us all off one way or another. And it's not just islamists doing the plotting.

  6. Well, if there is an attack on American soil, I wouldn't hesitate to attack Iran pronto. They've been threatening the U.S. for years, and even Iran's President is in the U.S. threatening the U.S., so blast away.

  7. I don't buy it. It would be stupid of them to do such a thing. And it wouldn't matter which President we got, we would beat the s--- out of them.

  8. Thanks all.
    To Dark Gravity. I'm not selling it.
    I'm reporting it.
    But I do appreciate your gung ho attitude.

  9. Americans want change. They won't be fooled by scare tactics anymore.

  10. There is change but the type that Obama says will destroy this nation.

    You may not be scared, but I am. I know the beast and know how dangerous it is. The beast craves only blood, and doesn't care about "civilians".

  11. Hi, I just looked up October 7th on Wikipedia to see what significance it held. October 7th happens to be the day the U.S. invaded Afghanistan back in 2001. I thought this was interesting.

  12. I'm surprised that no one noticed that Oct 7 is the holiest day in Judaism: Yom Kippur. Also check out the web bot project at urban

  13. No wonder the US constantly has political issues. With a completely intolerant "attack them all, get rid of the muslims" attitude that some comments on this blog post display, I do not wonder why there is such political and religious unrest, as well as disdain towards the US in general. I am not surprised, and I do not take pity on you.

    This blog seems relatively unbiased and informative, but some of its readers are most definitely behaving to the contrary.

  14. To the last Anonymous. Thank you for those kind words about Radarsite. I'm not sure which of my commenters you are referring to, but if you read one of my latest articles "Blinded by Hope, Abandoned by Reason: An Update", I think you'll find that I am the most fervent anti-Islam writer here. If you read that article, and many of my other articles, you will quickly discover that I firmly believe Muslims to be the major problem in the world. Furthermore, I believe that Islam is a horrid cult, responsible for more tragedies and deaths than all of the Hitler's and Stalins and Tojos put together.
    I hope that clarifies my position.

  15. Very very interesting, i suppose there is not long left now. It will be interesting to see how this turns out. I'm in Australia, so if they do drop a bomb, America kick their asses big time!

  16. theres nothing so far.. I am near dc.. so thank God.. but honestly dont blame all arabs, I am semitic, but not muslim, christian semitic, but not all of us are bad... there are radical islamists, and regular islamists... the radicals are the trouble makers... remember that.